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The development and use of predictive models in Great Lakes decision-making: an interdiscipinary synthesis

Aquatic ecosystem models are frequently used as decision   support tools for a variety of Great Lakes management decisions. NY   Sea Grant sponsors research that characterizes aquatic systems and   coastal processes and Sea Grant extension specialists draw on this   research to inform decision-makers and the public. Sea Grant   sometimes sponsors model development and often the data from Sea   Grant sponsored research is used as model inputs or to calibrate or   validate models. Despite all this modeling related effort, there has   been almost no research into the ways models are used in decision   making processes. This synthesis project will begin to fill a very   important gap by advancing understanding of practices associated   with the use of models in support of New York Great Lakes management   decisions and by developing and applying criteria to assess whether   or not modeling/decision-making interaction is improving the quality   of policy deliberations and Great Lakes decisions.    The objectives of this project are:  - Develop a conceptual model of the interaction between aquatic   system modeling and  participatory decision-making.  - Describe and analyze "best practices" relative to modeling as part   of decision-support systems.  - Contribute toward theory of the relationship between modeling and   democratic and participatory  decision-making.  - Provide recommendations for managers, modelers and stakeholders.    The methods employed to achieve the above objectives are:  - Review of published literature on modeling and decision-making.  - Case studies, narrative.  - Open-ended interviews.  - Interpretive analysis, discourse analysis.  - Interdisciplinary synthesis.  - Heuristic modeling.

In progress
Start Date
End Date
Scope of Study
Literature / Existing Data
Scale of Phenomena
Impact of Pollutants
Exotic Species
Nutrients, Including Phosphorus
Natural Ecological Processes
Natural Physical/Geological Processes
Land Use and Habitat
Resource Management
Lake Basin Connecting Channels
Lake Erie
Lake Ontario
St.Lawrence River
State Province
New York
Annex Numbers
Research & Development
Annex 17
Impact of water quality and AIS on fish and wildlife populations and habitats
  • Annex Numbers
    Annex Numbers
    Research & Development
  • Annex 17
    Annex 17
    Impact of water quality and AIS on fish and wildlife populations and habitats

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up-to-date information about research projects in the
Great Lakes - St. Lawrence Region.