This project will use weather data from the National Weather Service (NWS) and the Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory`s Coastal Forecasting System to generate 60-hour forecasts of fecal bacteria at 22 beaches in Indiana, Wisconsin, Ohio, Michigan, New York, and Pennsylvania. This project will compare the accuracy of its bacteria forecasts with alternative predictions based on weather data collected at individual beaches. If it is found that NWS data can support effective beach bacteria forecasts, the new approach offers the promise of cost savings. Accuracy of these forecasts will be compared with forecasting methodologies assessed in Grant Number 00E00678.
60 Hour Beach Forecasting Models